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The President Lacks Credibility on Health Care

While President Obama is trying to suppress all criticism of his Health Reform (Health Insurance Reform?) agenda I'll try to add my two cents worth on the raging debate.  I believe the president lacks credibility on this issue and that he has apparently shut down his listening apparatus.  Maybe it is people like me have been too strident, too vocal, or too energized.  I honestly think that President Obama thinks that if he doesn't get something passed this year he will lose all momentum.   Maybe he should.  Maybe we should take our time and fully understand what the heck he's talking about.
 
President Obama says we have been spreading misinformation while I believe, as do many others, that he is the one spreading misinformation.    First, I believe that President Obama has been trying to defend and explain a plan that doesn't exist yet.  Depending on what you read and hear, there are a number of draft bills in the House and Senate, none of which have been voted out by the bodies drafting them and none of which has been pushed through the joint committee compromising process.  Key elements of these bills have been talked about in soundbite generalities, but a stable plan or bill is not yet published. 
 
How can we honestly debate something when we don't know what it is?  A Kaiser Family Fund website, http://www.kff.org/healthreform/sidebyside.cfm, has actually published a side-by-side comparison of four separate proposed plans including two Senate plans, one House bill, and  President Obama's Principles for Healthcare Reform which is not a bill, but a set of concepts he outlined in February 2009 (which he seems to be updating on the fly).
 
Here are some things that President Obama has said that I do not believe:
 
1.  "If you like your current plan you can keep your plan and your doctor" or words to that effect.  I don't believe this.  Once a public option becomes the preferred source of healthcare for small businesses struggling with costs, they will throw employees over the fence and employees will find themselves in Medicare style plans which will not compensate many physicians adequately for services rendered.  In this type of scenario I lose my plan and most likely I will lose my doctor.
 
2. "It (Health Insurance Reform) will be deficit neutral."   This is code speech and nobody I know believes it.  It is code speech because it means that the government costs for this will be shuffled from somewhere else (most notably a large part will be cut and transferred from the defense industry).   I have trouble believing that there is enough discretionary money in other parts of the federal budget to pay for whatever is being planned.  Anybody familiar with the explosive growth of Medicare costs shoul also be skeptical.  Taxes will have to be raised also -- significantly.
 
3. "There won't be Death Panels."   Rationing is inevitable.  It happens all the time now.   For people in HMO/PPO style plans, the rationers for care are primary care physicians.  They decide what's needed and authorize tests, procedures, and specialist involvement.   Now the government will be in the way.  I don't see how some government bureaucrat somewhere won't be involved in rationing decisions.  There won't be infinite resources for delivering procedures, surgeries, medications, and tests to cover every condition.  This has always been true.  It's just that now the decision will be made by a govvie.   Perhaps it will be a physician who is a government employee but it will still be a government employee.   Life and death decisions will be in the hands of the government.  
 
4.  "Our current system is broken."   Is it?   Over sixty percent of the people who've responded to various polls seem to be indicating that they're "happy" with their current health plans (who is actually HAPPY with a health plan?).  Are we destroying the village in order to save it?
 
5.  "Over 40 million people are uninsured."  I believe this number is highly suspect.  I believe this number includes illegal immigrants and voluntarily uninsured young people who don't believe they'll ever get sick and don't want to spend $150 a month that they can use elsewhere.   Second, if this is the problem then buy insurance for these people and give it away like the federal government is doing for "Clunkers".
 
6.  "Affordable healtcare coverage will be available for everybody."   This seems like code speech for taxpayer subsidies.   Health costs are what they are.   Can we get all the doctors, nurses, and administrators take a 50% pay cut?  Are we going to run all of the health insurance companies and their employees out of business?   Most people, like me, believe that one of the cost growth areas in employer or private health insurance has been the requirement to subsidize Medicare and other government medical programs.  Their reimbursement rates are notoriously inadequate in many categories.  It is widely believed that hospitals and doctors compensate for this with higher billings to employer held or individually owned insurance plans.
 
7.  "Health care in the U.S. is in a crisis."   Really?  What kind of crisis?   Oh.   We're talking about the uninsured again.   Buy insurance for them.  Next issue?  Oh, you don' really want to buy insurance for them?  You want to overhaul the whole system in order to make it impossible to figure out what coverage for these 10 to 40 million people cost?  You don't want to deal with tort reform because your buddies are trial lawyers?   Your political career may bottom out if you can't push it through this year?  I think the crisis has to do with President Obama's career track for the most part.  
 
Those are my top seven issues with Obamacare -- a plan that has yet to actually be published.
 
I believe that a large change like this should not be made in haste.  I also believe that it is probably a mistake to change it all at once as a result of one massive legislative nightmare of a bill.  
 
Let's tackle health reform more reasonably.  After all,  it's about our health.   It's not about President Obama's career.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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They Are Who We Thought They Were

They are indeed who we thought they were – the Obama Administration.   One bad idea after another.   Spending our money like drunken sailors (however, as one columnist was reminded, sailors spend their own money, so he offered apologies to drunken sailors everywhere).  While they propose and back lousier and lousier ideas on a daily basis and intrude routinely on our personal freedoms, the Obama administration marches on.

But here’s the rub.   An addict needs enablers – other people who make destructive or insane choices possible.   Our current enablers are in Congress – the Pelosi, Reid, Waxman, Frank, Hoyer, Murtha, Boxer, Feinstein cabal.   Only with a level of collective ignorance (or malice) that is absolutely stunning in its breadth and depth, could a body charged with the responsibility of appropriating funds for the federal budget decide that we were in dire enough straits to justify borrowing 100% more money for this fiscal year than are scheduled to bring in.    That’s right.   We’re getting a little less than $2 trillion in projected revenue for this year and are borrowing over $1.8 trillion.   Try that at your house. Then try to do it again next year.

IT WAS NECESSARY! WE HAD JUST HAD 8 YEARS OF THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION!  WE WERE FIGHTING UNNECESSARY WARS! THE HOUSING MARKET WAS COLLAPSING!  THE AUTO COMPANIES ARE COLLAPSING!  THE BANKS ARE COLLAPSING!   WE HAD TO BORROW THE MONEY TO WASH THE STENCH OF A REPUBLICAN ADMINISTRATION OUT OF THE COUNTRY! WE HAD TO PROP UP STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS SO TEACHERS, FIREFIGHTERS, AND OTHER GOVERNMENT WORKERS DON’T HAVE TO SUFFER CUTBACKS LIKE THE PRIVATE SECTOR HAS TO!

It’s all HOGWASH.   You’ve just had your sky is falling moment and most of us survived. To those of you who have lost jobs you have my sympathies, but your only help is an economic recovery. 

I’ve got news. You won’t get that recovery with this administration and this congress. They’re not done spending yet. They want to take over Health Care under some idea that the takeover will save the economy.  WHAT????     Health Care reform will save the economy???? How’s that?   There’s some convoluted logic somewhere about this (that I don’t believe) that starts with getting those poor 40 million uninsured people covered.  

Now, I don’t know how you do your math, but my math tells me that insuring 40 million more people costs more.   There’s no logical stretch, no credible business model, and no amount of stupid Democratic rhetoric that will convince me that having 40 million Americans outside the health insurance system has caused all of our economic problems, and that putting those same 40 million people in a health insurance program will balance our budget.  The notion that this is how we solve our economic problems is illogical on its face and no amount of twisted rationale will convince me otherwise.   I am convinced, however, that this is a ploy to get an edge in the number of loyal Democratic voters -- possibly even 40 million new grateful ones.  

Back to my original point – The Addicted Obama Administration and The Enablers in Congress need a remedy.  Step One is to Take the Enablers out in 2010. We can unelect every Democrat in the House of Representatives and roughly one third of he Democrats in the Senate in 2010. This first step in the effort requires that everybody vote. Those of you who had no enthusiasm for the 2008 election have to get out and vote.   Disaffected Democrats have to get out and vote. Libertarians have to get out and vote.   Young people who have taken and passed real math classes have to get out and vote.   And people who voted last time have to get out and vote.  

Vote ‘em out or shut up.   

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This Stimulus Is Not Stimulating

For some reason we’ve been slow to fully criticize the implementation of the Stimulus Package (over $750B in supplemental spending approved by a Congress that didn't read the bill).    My side, the conservative side, argued (ineffectively, in my opinion) that the bill shouldn’t have been passed, but my side has been relatively mute (or disorganized, or weak, or just ineffective) about how the distribution of the money is so poorly done that it really does not amount to a stimulus.

Here’s my take on the whole thing.   The money that got out the fastest is for the preservation of jobs for public worker union members – teachers, state and local workers, firefighters, etc.  (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124227027965718333.html).  

 In San Diego,  where the county reportedly received over $120M for “the schools” it is being reported that it isn’t enough  (http://www3.signonsandiego.com/stories/2009/may/14/1mi14oteach182153-district-trustees-stick-73-teach/?education&zIndex=98935).

 My main point on this is that the Stimulus Package is not stimulating anything.  It is being used to prop up state and local government budgets that otherwise would have been faced with some of the same layoff decisions that the private sector is grappling with.

 We’re not building anything new (like nuclear power plants, or desalination plants).   We’re not investing in business.   We’re not loaning money to startups who might hire people.

So far, all we are really doing is preserving some selected government jobs!   I realize that government employees have mortgages and buy things too, but preserving some of their jobs won’t create an upswing in consumer spending or heat up a sluggish economy.   To put a more cynical spin on it, we're preserving the jobs of largely democratic voter bases - public union members.  

The borrowing and taxation that is being levied on us few remaining net-tax contributors will dampen our abilities to help restart the economic engine. Is this “STIMULUS”?   I don’t see how it can possibly be considered any kind of economic stimulus.   It’s more like a weird form of internalized consumption.  What we are doing is the equivalent of burning the remaining furniture, superstructure, and decking on a ship to generate some steam and delay the inevitable "all stop" condition.

But, guess what.  It will all crash relatively soon.   Even President Obama admits that our current rate of deficit accumulation is unsustainable (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aJsSb4qtILhg&refer=worldwide).  That's an encouraging admission until you realize that he's using it to sell his approach to nationalizing health care.  Somehow nationalized health care will bring things in balance.  

Oh, and if you buy that one don't forget that the oceans are no longer rising, the polar icecaps have stopped melting, and the Taliban and Al Quaeda are much more willing to sit down and negotiate with us now that Mr. Obama is president. 

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Three Big Changes to Tax Policy

The current tax system has been going on long enough.   It's time to make some fundamental changes.  I've got three fundamental recommendations here, but first here's a little background.
 
Ever since I was in the service (U.S. Navy, 1972-1976) I've wondered why we collect taxes from people who are paid out of tax dollars.   It always seemed like a system that had an output that became part of its own input.  This part of the tax system seemes strange and unhealthy and incredibly unproductive.
 
So my first my first recommendation is...Stop it!   Stop collecting tax dollars from any civil servants or service members who are paid out of tax dollars.  Reduce all government employee pay by an amount that is commensurate with the elimination of their responsibility to pay taxes -- something around 25%.   Reduce all federal, state, county, and city government budgets and payrolls by an amount equal to their reduction in obligated labor costs.
 
The second thing I've always wondered about our tax system is why we have to file two returns and pay taxes to two separate governments in most states.   We, my wife and I, live in California and have to pay state income tax as well as federal income tax.  We file returns to both the State Franchise Tax Board and the U.S. Treasury.  
 
Here's my second recommendation.   People should only pay taxes within their state.  I'll pay all income taxes that we owe to the State of California.  The federal government can negotiate with California for what they need.   Let's get the federal government out of the individual income tax business.  It is just plain unseemly to have the big bad federal government reaching into my home and telling me what to pay them.   They're welcome to wrestle with the state of California for their share.
 
I realize that there are states that do not have an income tax at this point.   For sthose states that do not have a state income tax (assuming they still do not want to collect state income tax from their citizenry) they would only be collecting what the federal requires from them.  Whoever lives in that state and works for the Internal Revenue Service can remain in the service of their government by continuing to work in the state's tax collection agency.
 
Finally, let's eliminate all capital gains.   What does that mean exactly?  If you paid income taxes and then saved money and then bought something and that thing appreciated and you sell that something and make some money -- just keep the money.   That simple.  You've paid taxes already so the real cost of that asset could be 30% or 40% more than the purchase price.   That is all the tax you get out of the deal, Mr. Government.  You don't get to come back later and collect 30% or 40% of the 20% that I got for selling the asset for 20% more than I paid for it.
 
That's it for now.  There are plenty of other ideas about the tax system that I think should be changed but those are the three biggees.    
 
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My Plan Is Better Than His Plan

I could not get very far into Lara D’Andrea Tyson’s cheerleading piece (Wall Street Journal, March 9, 2009, “In Defense of Obamanomics”) for President Obama’s economic policies and plans without disagreeing right off the top. The first two sentences are filled with misrepresentations concerning the definition of leadership (it’s not clear where she got the definition she summarized in the first sentence) and about President Obama’s “inheritance” of the current crisis. It is as if President Obama’s election, inauguration, and ramrod treatment of the Pelosi-Reid Stimulus Bill were no big deal and he is still getting a pass on whether his administration owns the crisis.   This is in spite of the incredible loss in equity value since the election and inauguration.   I’ve got news. He was elected. He’s on watch. It’s pretty much all his baby now.

I’ve got my own plan and it is better than his plan. I will acknowledge that President Obama did not start the mortgage and securities crisis.   He did not construct the entangled economic structure that seems to have unraveled due to somebody’s large adjustable rate mortgage going into default somewhere (Let’s call this the Typhoid Mary” of mortgages. It will be interesting someday to identify the specific mortgage default that started the ball rolling).   But, President Obama has announced policies and signed legislation that greatly accelerates the accumulation of debt while interjecting the federal government into areas of our lives that should remain unencumbered by federal government intrusion.

As an aside, My Plan could stop this crisis, and I promise that I will describe that to you a bit later.   For now let’s get back to Ms. Tyson’s WSJ OpEd where, in the third sentence, she really writes a doozy. The sentence actually contains words stating that the President’s economic plan will “bolster demand and create 3.5 million jobs.”   What demand will the President’s plan “bolster”? What jobs will be created? Will it stop at 3.5 million jobs? I ask this because I read today that this crisis has caused a loss of over 4 million jobs. Maybe we should borrow another trillion or so.

Apparently Ms. Tyson is one or two talking point faxes behind the times because her erstwhile colleagues are using the phrase “create or save 3.5 million jobs.”   Let’s review the bidding regarding the stimulus package.   According to some reporting the state, county, and city governments that receive Stimulus Plan dollars will have to report on jobs created with this money. (It doesn't matter whether this is the truth or not because nobody's read the bill even now).   Apparently this includes jobs that would have been cut had these governmental bodies not received stimulus money.   States, counties, and cities will have to indicate how many people they would have laid off if they didn’t get stimulus funds, and how many fewer they will lay off if they do get stimulus funds. I assume these folks who do not get laid off, but would have been laid off had the stimulus funds not been available, will be counted as “saves.”   

What we are talking about here is saving government jobs by the way. We are not talking about the types of jobs that would have been saved had the government simply stopped collecting taxes for a year or so and let people spend their money on things like construction, manufacturing, private sector lending, retail purchases, office space, etc.   We are talking about saving government jobs at all levels with borrowed taxpayer money (over $10,000 per taxpaying household and growing).

Let’s look at California.   California is projecting a budget deficit of over $40 billion.   (This is a $40 billion shortfall for a $140 billion budget that, five years ago, was a $90 billion budget).   The state will make a few small symbolic cuts, but, for the most part, Governor Schwarzenegger and the legislature want to raise taxes and get the rest from the federal government.   They think this is the only way to balance their bloated budget. But that probably won’t be enough.   After California does what whatever budget manipulations they can they will still need a federal stimulus payoff of over $20 billion. After all that California may still be short.   To summarize, about 15% of the state’s budget will have to come from money borrowed from federal taxpayers.

I have to ask at this point, would you lend money to a state like California that appears to be drowning?   On top of that, would you do it again next year?   

I think this is time to point out that we’re borrowing a ridiculous amount of money and spending it all without getting anything that helps with our most pressing problems in California. We will not get any new nuclear power plants to help with a power generation system that is stretched thin. We will apparently not be using this funding to build any desalination plants to help with California’s chronic fresh water shortage.   What we are getting is the opportunity to keep $20 billion worth of civil service labor on the payroll. Many of these people do good necessary work but they will not generate one kilowatt of electricity, refine one gallon of gasoline, or produce one gallon of fresh water.  

Some municipal government is getting some new police officers out of this stimulus funding apparently.   I understand President Obama had a press conference in the last couple of days in front of a couple of dozen young police cadet graduates. The young cadets who stood behind the president will be hired with stimulus funding.   We did this same thing when Bill Clinton was president, remember? The minute you hire folks using federal money you take on the responsibility for their continued employment as part of the federal workforce, at least from a cost perspective. If you decide two years from now that you’ve done your “stimulus” job and don’t continue to fund these folks then they are likely to be layoff victims.   Stimulus forever?   It doesn’t seem like it.

So I’m thinking it is time for a new plan. A different plan.  My Plan.

Here’s what we are doing now:

  1. Continue to spend what we currently spend.
  2. Borrow a record amount of additional money to spend and send it to state, county, and municipal governments to retain a large number of civil servants.

MY PLAN: Here’s what I think we should do:

  1. Suspend the collection of taxes for one year.
  2. Borrow a record amount of additional money to pay for our current spending.
  3. Cut all civil service and military payroll by 25% in exchange for relieving all civil service and military personnel of the requirement to pay state or federal income tax.  (It's stupid to collect taxes from people who are paid using tax dollars).
  4. Recalculate all federal, state, county, and city budgets to include workforces that cost 25% less.

The difference between my plan and President Obama’s plan is simple.   His plan preserves a large number of civil service and government jobs. My plan puts a large amount of money in the hands of millions of taxpayers who can best decide how to spend it.

President Obama’s plan may make it seem that the economic deterioration has slowed down to some degree.   A large number of state, county, and city governments across the country which receive stimulus funds will have more employees than they would have had without the money.

My plan would allow the state, county, and city governments to make the cuts they need to make in order to continue operations without any borrowed funding from the federal government to prop them up. Some governmental entities may go bankrupt which can be a good thing.   Bankruptcy will force reorganization and enable them to restructure labor costs and trim operations.

My plan would also follow up quickly with spending.   Big spending.   People will indeed have more money. The Democrats will argue that some people are taking trips and buying cars and buying new computers with their tax dollars.   The Dems have a funny way of making you think that if you’ve been given a tax break that it is not really your money. They’ve given it to you.  

While we’re on the subject I’ve got some news. If tax revenue is never collected in the first place it is not tax revenue.    It is spendable income.   Florida and Texas don’t act as if the state income tax that they don’t collect is their money that they have given to the state residents. They haven’t given the state residents any money. It is not the government’s money until they collect it.

More jobs will be created in one year under My Plan than ever will be created under the Obama plan.    These jobs will be created by millions of taxpayers who have been given a year off of paying their taxes.   These relieved taxpayers will be spending money on house painting, new carpet, insulation, new cars, bathroom remodeling, hot tubs, vacations, clothes, new backyard decks, new sod, solar power panels, new front doors, window replacements, new dishwashers, new refrigerators, new stoves…

Wait a minute. All that new, environmentally friendly stuff will be a massive environmental disaster that will reduce carbon emissions and accelerate Global Cooling.  

Never mind.

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Does Hillary Think We’re Idiots?

I live in San Diego.  After the primaries in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada we started getting a startlingly insulting television spot this weekend.   

Hillary Clinton claims she “hears me.”   Apparently I want affordable health care (doctors, nurses, and hospital administrators are going to take pay cuts?).  Apparently I want affordable gasoline (we’re going to drill in ANWR now?).  Apparently I want my mortgage payments guaranteed (I have no idea how she plans to pull this one off).  Apparently she’s going to pay for my son’s college education with tax credits (not deductions.  Credits.).   

By the way, it's to be understood that she’s going to pull all of this off while ensuring that our military stays second to none (after cutting it about 20%), keeping Social Security and Medicare solvent, and meeting or expanding all other federal government obligations.   She’ll probably federalize the schools too…for the children. 

If you’re old enough to vote then you’ve got to know that none of this is free.   Medicare and other government paid health care programs are expensive enough now.  Throw in the the other 200 million people currently covered by private health insurance and put them under a guaranteed federal health care program.  The costs will be staggering.   Oh, wait!   We’re not talking about that?   Well then just what is Universal Health Care?   Who gets it and who pays for it?    What tax rates are anticipated to pay for this?   Could you just explain all of this please? 

Now that I think about it, what about food?  How can people be healthy if they don’t eat?   So now it seems as though we’ve got to nationalize health care and the food distribution industry too?   That oughta work just fine. 

Shelter, too.  We’ve got to tack that on.  You can’t be healthy without a roof over your head.   Now we’re nationalizing housing.  What about clothing?  Can’t be healthy without clothes.  Transportation?   Counseling?  Dry cleaning and laundry?   Internet access? 

Sorry.  I got sidetracked.   Where were we?   Let’s go back to making gasoline affordable.   If she is unwilling to allow oil companies to drill for more oil within the U.S. to assert a little more influence in the oil market, then I guess we’re talking about good old “alternative energy.”    You’re car needs to run on banana peels or corn or something.  How about hydrogen fuel cells or a small nuclear reactor?  

The car market will get there someday.  It’s all moving in that direction anyway and new CAFÉ standards will ultimately require that you go to work on 2015’s equivalent of a Moped.   What’s Hillary’s play?  She’ll take the credit if she’s in office.  The statistics on people getting killed in ultra lightweight vehicles will be buried.    

Let’s talk about college tuition tax credits.  I can see about a half dozen problems with this but let’s talk about the top three:
-- It won’t be enough to make much difference (for example, a $2,000 tax credit makes a pretty small dent when a year of college costs $25,000 to $40,000).  

-- We have to assume the credit is for parents sending their kids to school.  Giving a credit to a student who doesn’t pay any income tax to begin with is worthless.

-- It just generally means more federal influence over education.  I don’t see how we need any more.     

Mortgages?  I can’t wait to see how she plans to take credit for me making my mortgage payment.   Things are complicated enough without some kind of HillaryPlan for mortgages.  I have the feeling it will be something like her cattle futures venture.  It will work for her.  The rest of us need to take cover.

Back to the orignal question.  Does Hillary think we're idiots?  Probably not.  But she doesn't intend to tell us exactly what she's planning.  This is for two reasons.  First, she hasn't figured it all out yet. (She's still refining Hillary Care from 1993).  Most importantly, she doesn't think we'll ask the hard questions prior to the election.  She'll run the risk of getting elected without having to explain these things.  Because she can't.    

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Donny Osmond & Bill Clinton

Have you been watching what's going on with the Osmond family lately?   They've had an amazing run of free press from the entertainment press corps.  Donny seems to be the spokesman and one of his main issues is propping up his aging sister's "Dancing With the Stars" performances while being critical of all of the other participants.   The family is also using Oprah, Entertainment Tonight, Access Hollywood and god knows how many morning talk show programs to promote some sort of 50 Years of Osmonds event.  

Now look at Bill Clinton.  He's been out defending Hillary.   He gets free press like Donny because he's Bill and the swoon factor (I never got it or understood it) is still there.  He plays the father-husband-bigbrother when Hillary's being ganged up on by those wascawy boys in the Democratic Party.  

Both Donny and Bill have made some serious judgmental mistakes.  Donny has tried to convince anybody who'll listen that Marie is a better dancer than other more deserving contestants in her celebrity ballroom dancing competition.    He does this by exaggerating her talents and criticizing the other, more talented entrants.

Bill has pulled out his trump card way too early in the game.  No sooner than the Democratic Party primary race has actually appeared on an average limited-interest-in-politics citizen's radar then the ex-prez accuses everybody within earshot of trying to "Swift Boat" Hillary (a reference to attacks by Swift Boat veterans on John Kerry during his presidential campaign).    The problem is, he ain't seen no real serious Swift Boating yet and by the time the open campaign season rolls around (if Hillary's still standing) he will have cried "Swift Boat" too many times at this pace.  

But, I have a couple of questions about all this.   If women are equal to men in all respects, especially two towering public figures like Marie Osmond and Hillary Clinton, then why do they need their big, strong brother/husband/father figures to defend, block, tackle, and run interference for them?  

If women are indeed superior to men, as they often claim, then why do they feel they still have to make so much more progress to be equal?    If they are indeed superior then it would seem that allowing the Donny Osmonds and Bill Clintons of the world to clear the way would actually create more problems than it solves.  Maybe it has.
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Who Moved My Global Warming?

There's an interesting passage in Steven Pressfield's "Gates of Fire" when the Spartans first form up to face the Persians in battle at Thermopylae. The Spartans maintain their quiet, disciplined ranks before the battle while the Persians whoop themselves into a frenzy. The Spartans had enough warfare experience to know that they needed to save their energy for the actual engagement. By the time the Persians made contact with the Spartans they were spent. Many of the exhausted, ineffective Persian soldiers became part of a large collection of corpses pretty quickly.

That's what I’m doing right now. I’m standing by, somewhat bemused, watching the Al Gores of the world expend their hysterical energy.

My side of the argument is the "Global Warming Is Not Man's Fault" crowd. We’re also the “Global Warming is Probably a Hoax” crowd.

Here are my top five issues with regard to Global Warming zealotry:

1. The hysteria and guilt is very entertaining - especially watching that Al Gore guy (I just read where some hotel took out their Bibles and put "An Inconvenient Truth" in their nightstands). However, I will acknowledge that Al Gore accomplished something that I have not yet been able to accomplish; he got a movie produced, released to movie theaters, and out on DVD.

2. Most of the "science" being touted on the "man is causing global warming" side is not science or anything close to it. Climate models are not science.

3. There is ample evidence that there were several periods in the earth's history when it was significantly warmer than it will ever be again (and CO2 levels have been much higher). A single warm winter doesn't mean much. Katrina meant nothing with regard to Global Warming.

4. The debate is by no means over.

5. There's money to be made and power to be gained by backing the "Man Causes Global Warming" argument. At the top, there's not an altruistic bone in anybody who's a player in this game.

Please keep in mind that the global warming issue, from my perspective, is not about whether a warming trend is in operation. The earth may well be warming (as it has done many times in the past). The issue is what is causing it and, to a lesser extent, how hysterical do we have to become about it. I object to the guilt-driven assertion that man's rampant disregard for the environmental impacts of breathing and having children and driving cars is a key cause. In conjunction with this I can't buy the basic conceit that man's behavior can be changed enough through iron fisted international treaties and legislation to make a difference. However, if this is true, Hillary Clinton needs to ground her private jet fleet right now. She's been zipping across country often enough to retire Africa's debt with her frequent flyer miles.

Having a civil discussion is impossible when one side shouts down any attempt at debate as being a done deal, closed argument, no-room-for-debate kind of issue. By the way, when I see any debatable issue become a shout-down issue like this one, it's usually the least informed who do the most shouting, and it's a good sign that they know that their argument is flawed.

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Just Because the Democrats Have Quit, That Doesn’t Mean the War Is Lost

I guess we have to fight on without them. Senator Harry Reid informed the President in the last couple of days that the war is “lost”.  Then, in what should have been a non-event , Senator Reid held a press conference to say the same thing to those wonderful reporters in the Washington Press Corps knowing full well that he had a shot at front page press.   It's just too bad that a domestic mass murderer got in the way of Senator Reid's PR ploy. 

I'm thinking that Senator Reid could be confusing his Vegas experiences with the war.  Maybe he’s been losing lately at the gaming tables or in the Nevada real estate game.

Curious thing though, according to a Breitbart.com report, after he said the war was "lost" he then said “... I believe the war at this stage can only be won diplomatically, politically and economically.” 

Let's get it straight, Senator Reid, shall we?  Is the war lost or not?  How can we win a war diplomatically, politically, and economically that we’ve lost already?

The logic of these seemingly self-contradictory statements escapes me, but one thing does not. The Democratic Party leadership has quit on the war. We need them out of the way. They haven’t been any help or encouragement lately (or ever, for that matter).   Recent events with Moqtar Al-Sadr and his people indicate that the Democrats are getting their ridiculous timetable ideas from Al-Sadr.  I'm not sure how the Democrats have been getting a pass from the press in their obvious agreement and sympathy with our enemies (and the enemies of the Iraqi people), but it's time to take the Democrats out of the game.   Wait...I lost my head for a second.  We're talking about the press here.  That explains it.

Somebody in the Republican Party has to call a coward a coward. If you don’t have the stomach or the fortitude for the fight, Senator Reid, at least have the courage to step down and get out of the way. Your resignation is hereby accepted.

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Barack Gazes at That Shining City

Well, we’ve got six hundred something days until the election and it feels like it’s already the primary season for the 2008 election. Senator Barack Obama announced his entry into the fray yesterday. Barack wouldn’t dare quote President Reagan, but that’s the image he’s trying to construct. He’s currently in the process of delivering this image in carefully orchestrated events – Oprah, “Sixty Minutes”, etc. The image we’re supposed to be getting is the image of an idealist gazing upon that shining city on a hill and trying to make us believe that he’s the guy who can lead us back there.

Before I get started I want to thank all the great thinkers who engineered our present campaign finance laws which set the conditions for an infinite number of Political Action Committees, advocacy groups, and hundreds of fund raisers. Endless phone calls, mail, and internet spam are employed in an attempt to drain the average individual contributors of their maximum contributions each of which will buy approximately 1.2 seconds of local market television time. What’s really great about this is that campaign fund raising is now continuous. Why do I keep thinking of the Laws of Unintended Consequences when I think about campaign finance reform? We’ll talk about that some other day.

Senator Obama, or “The Barackster” as my friends and I refer to him, said some interesting things yesterday. He mentioned the “smallness of our politics.” He said, “The time for that politics is over.” He said, “a house divided against itself cannot stand.”

What’s interesting about this? What’s interesting is what is not there. What is interesting is the lack of content. What is interesting is the overuse of the term “Rock Star” when referring to the guy. (I wonder if Hillary thinks of him as a rock star).

What is also interesting is that he quoted Abraham Lincoln. You may have thought, as I did, that The Barackster would have quoted our first black president, Bill Clinton. Then again, one would have to look long and hard for anything quotable from Bill Clinton that trumps his “I Did Not Have Sex With That Woman” speech.

Okay, so this is a big PR rollout. After all Senator Obama, like any other presidential hopeful, has to start spending his campaign dollars to try and raise more campaign dollars at the rate of one small contribution at a time. He should do pretty well considering Senator Joe Biden’s endorsement of his cleanliness.

By the way, if there were any justice Senator Biden’s exploratory committee would be shut down by now. But, as we all know there’s a double standard at work here. Any Republican would have not only lost his or her chance at the presidency, but would be having trouble with a lot of people calling for their resignation. Senator Biden, however, is the beneficiary of the ThreeStupidityStrikesforDemocratsOnly rule. He’s guilty of plagiarism. He’s guilty of an obviously stupid remark that has a racial taint to it – much more directly than Senator Trent Lott’s praise of Senator Strom Thurmond which resulted in Senator Lott losing his leadership post. I can’t wait to see what’s next. Maybe it will thin the field if he just gets around to his third strike soon.

Okay all you tough young reporters out there here’s the question you need to ask Senator Obama on the campaign trail -- “What will you do?” What I’m referring to is just what will Senator Obama do (if he gets elected president) and we’re still in Iraq and he sets an arbitrary deadline to “get out of Iraq.” Then we see the rapid progression of a Middle East dominated by Iran as a virulent anti-U.S. influence which by then will have not only nuclear weapons but some capability to deliver them.

I think I know what Barack will do. He’ll be dealing with the Al Sharpton’s and Jesse Jackson’s of the world who will probably be appointees in his administration somewhere advising him that the racial imbalances of the country are the number one priority and a new Civil Rights bill has to be passed to solve our problems in much the same way Campaign Finance Reform has solved all of our campaign finance irregularities and problems. He’ll be listening to others telling him that health care for everybody, particularly for every illegal immigrant in the country, is our number one priority and it has to be either mandated or nationalized. He’ll be reminded by powerful interest groups who helped him get elected that gay rights and women’s rights are our number one priority and that we need a whole new affirmative action revitalization effort. Another group will try to convince him that energy independence is the answer to everything and a huge government bureaucracy will have to be established to improve the national security and global warming problems we now have because of our dependence on Big Oil which delivers Foreign Oil to our refineries. By the way, this new Energy Agency will spend several billion dollars a year and won’t produce one gallon of gasoline or ethanol.

Somewhere down about twentieth on his list will be national security. Barack will be trying to play catch up on global security commitments with about two thirds of the military we have now which will have been reduced due to military budget cuts intended to help us reduce the accumulation of national debt. (Never mind that seventy five percent of our unfunded liabilities are related to Social Security and Medicare and have nothing to do with our military expenditures which have not exceeded 5% of GDP at anytime recently including the costs of the ongoing battle in Iraq).

That’s what Barack will be doing in my opinion. When it comes to the “Audacity of Hope” let’s just hope that when Barack gazes on that shining city on the hill that he isn't looking at some kind of radioactive glow.

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Hillary's Bunk

Hillary’s continuing to work at having it not just two ways, but several ways. Campaigning in front of crowds in New Hampshire that are apparently more liberal than she is, they apparently want their next mommy or daddy president to make it stop. Make it go away, Mommy. Make it stop, Daddy. Take that noisy bad old war away.

So Hillary says things like: “It's very easy to go around and say, 'Let's end the war.’ If we had a Democratic president we would end the war."

And here’s a doozy: "knowing what we know now, I would never have voted for it.”

And finally, "The mistakes were made by this president, who misled this country and this Congress." All of this was said to the kind of applause a coach gets at a pep rally right before leading the team to a first class glute whupping.

What’s wrong with Hillary’s position? I’ve said it in my last two posts and believe that it is important enough to say again. This is an encouraging signal to an enemy who is not running for office in 2008. Our enemy is looking to see what kind of government we will elect in 2008.  They would prefer not to have a conservative Republican government.

Yessiree, you heard it right.   They (radical Islamists worldwide) have a preference about which U.S. administration we elect. They want Hillary’s administration (reason enough not to vote for her right there). They know that she’ll pack up and go home. Then they can regroup and plan more of their operations in our hemisphere rather than defending themselves in their part of the planet. By the way, they’ll accept Obama also if he promises the same things.

Let me add again (until it sinks in) IRAQ IS NOT THE WAR. Iraq is a battle in a much larger war. It’s an ideological war that just happens to be centered in Iraq at the moment.

Hillary doesn’t think the struggle against the monsters of terror is our number one priority. She’s not leading. She’s poll reading and consulting with her showpiece husband. She’s telling New Hampsherites and Iowans what she thinks they want to hear – universal health care, more affordable college, and reviving small town economies (none of which she can actually accomplish). She believes the American public is exhausted with Iraq and just wants it all to go away.

Maybe, but the American people can take it. They need to hear the truth and they need to be lead not appeased. They don’t need more bunk.

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Hillary Signals the Enemy

Maybe it’s just me, but when I watch poker players I don’t see them telling the people they’re playing against that the game will be over at midnight no matter what.

I haven’t played racquetball players who say, “Let me throw these last five points because I’ve got to get out of here by six.”

I haven’t seen too many football games where people say, “We’re not playing the fourth quarter. It’s late and we’ve got to get home to watch Desperate Housewives.”

But when it comes to warfare, many of the highly paid politicians whom we elected to represent us seem to think it is their mandate to quit no matter what the cost and to make sure that our enemy knows this.

Let’s be clear on this. As I said in my previous post HILLARY CLINTON CAN NOT STOP THE WAR ON TERROR. She can’t stop the war now as a Senator and won’t be able to stop it as President (shudder). By the way, Hillary doesn’t seem to even know where the war is. She thinks the war is in Iraq, apparently. She got this from the media.

We do have a lot of soldiers, sailors, marines, and airmen in Iraq, and they are fighting. They are fighting in the War on Terror in Iraq, but Iraq is not the war. It is a battleground in the war. We have soldiers, sailors, marines, airmen, FBI guys, and CIA operatives in a lot of places fighting the war.

So here’s the way it could work. Hillary gets elected President (shudderbarfgoodgod). She has enough Democratic buddies in Congress (barfshuddergodbarfgeezelouise) to defund (or zero the funding for) the war effort. Troops are called home (assuming we have the money to transport them home). We have a parade, declare major combat operations over, and watch as Iraq and the rest of the Middle East come under Iranian control (except for the Kurds who have had it with subjugation, oppression, and terror and are ready to tear any perceived enemy’s head off at the slightest provocation).

Hillary will begin “negotiations” with Iran, Syria, Libya, the Palestinians (not to be confused with Palestine) and East Timor in an effort to improve our approval ratings with radical Islamic countries. Doubling our approval rating in those countries would raise it to about two percent. These “negotiations” will continue while Hezbollah and Hamas attack Israel, radical Islamic groups attack France (who cares), England, Germany, Italy, and Denmark. Hillary will convince the voting public that these attacks are our fault because we did not successfully curb global warming or provide universal health care.

That brings up The Answer. The Answer from the Hillary Administration for responding to Radical Islam will be universal, government mandated health care. It won’t be paid for or provided by the government. Even Hillary isn’t dumb enough to try and take over the nurse’s unions. So it will be mandated rather than provided.

But, that’s not the point. The point is that the distraction of trying to provide universal one-size-fits-all health care will kill all interest in the war. At least it will kill our interest. The big question is “Will the enemy respect that we have lost our will to fight and are too busy to continue the War on Terror?”

The Other Answer is “No, you idiot. They’re still going to try to kill you.”

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Hillary Will Quit

 Hillary’s been saying some interesting things lately. Let’s face it. The mainstream media guys are calling it for her already with only six hundred something days to go before the 2008 election.

You have to keep track of her bunk because, if she’s elected, some of t may actually happen.

First, she’s going to confiscate money from Big Oil to fund Big Government Energy Independence, whatever that is. Will Hillary’s Big Government actually produce energy? It will be interesting to see what a gallon of gasoline costs once it’s produced by Big Government. My guess I it will be about eight to nine bucks a gallon.

Then she still wants to hijack healthcare. She still loves the European healthcare model. Socialized medicine, we used to call it. I think they call it that because you spend a lot of time in waiting rooms socializing.

More recently she says she’d end the war. You’ve got to understand that she can’t do that. Even as President of the United States, Hillary would only have influence over our end of the war. What she really means, of course, is that she’d quit. Also, she’s not really talking about the war on terror. She’s talking about quitting an important battleground – Iraq. Maybe she’s thinking that after a couple of terms of her healthcare we’ll finally be healthy enough to fight the war and we can reengage.

You know, if you’re sorry enough to vote Democratic then go with Obama. At least then you’d have a “clean” guy leading you into disaster.

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The Dirtiest of Political Tricks

I live in San Diego, California.   California is the proposition state with the spectacle, every year it seems, of weirder and weirder rationalization for the twisted, upside down ideas from all kinds of lunatic fringes.

This year the dirtiest trick of all being played on California voters is from the Clinton-Gore crowd.   These weasels  don't even live here.   Bill drops in every once in a while to pick up some babe, I'm sure and Gore comes out here thinking he's a movie star. 

Now they're showing up on my TV and calling me at home.   They're calling me about Proposition 87, a tax on BIG OIL.    Bill tells me that I'm causing asthma in babies if I start up and drive my car.   Al tells me I'm melting the polar ice caps.  

I want these boneheads out of my state.  I never liked either one of them.   They share one common characteristic -- they can't seem to tell the truth.   They have other distinctly dislikable characteristics individually but when it comes to lying they're cut of the same cloth

Proposition 87 will turn the production of alternative fuels over to some tax supported state beauracracy.   Nobody I know thinks for a minute that a tax on BIG OIL won't get passed on as an operating cost to LITTLE CAR DRIVER -- me.  

I'm voting NO on Proposition 87 and encourage you, if you're in California, to do the same.   Then take a long drive and think about it.

   
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He’s Gone. Get On With It.

I haven’t had much chance to write lately. Changing jobs at my age is one of those things that a person just shouldn’t have to do. But other people have it worse than I do, so I’m not really complaining. I’m making excuses, but I’m not complaining.

Now, to the current political scene. Representative Foley is gone. Let’s get on with the business of winning this election. Part of that means challenging this foregone conclusion that we’re going to lose Congress. We don’t have to, you know.

I have a lot of friends who claim to be disgusted with the Republicans – the War in Iraq, bad conduct in the House, record deficits, illegal immigration, blah, blah, blah.

There definitely seems to be a throw-the-bums-out thing going on right now. Three things bother me about this.

  1. The entertainment value this has for the opposition (they are entirely too gleeful).
  2. The lack of foresight from people who would normally vote Republican (the “I’m just not gonna vote” types).
  3. The lack of will to counter on charges and counter-charges about misconduct, Iraq, illegal immigration, etc.

Entertainment Value: the tawdry nature of the Foley scandal has caught more than its share of news cycles as every cub reporter in the nation searches the blogs, chat rooms, and emails of the land high and low to come up with one more shred of titillaton to sustain the story.

This story should be over. Foley resigned, but that’s apparently not enough. Clinton didn’t resign. Barney Frank didn’t resign. Foley did. Why can’t our side get the “let’s move on” message out over the cacophony?

My feeling is that we have too few credible public speakers who can frame this properly and put it back in the box. Nobody’s out selling the “Democrats have no message” theme loudly enough. Where is the man or woman who could tie this thing up and move on? I don’t know. Apparently, Speaker of the House Denny Hastert’s responses about taking action when he knew enough to take action won’t placate the sharks in the pool. Speaker Hastert isn’t a very dynamic interview, in case you haven’t heard him. He comes across as an honest guy, but a little less than sure of himself on his answers.

Oh,yeah, and if I hear one more reporter infer (as if it is fact) that the Republican loss of Foley’s seat will almost definitely tip the House election in the Democrat’s favor I’m going to lose my lunch.

Lack of Foresight: This election isn’t about deficits or misbehavior. It’s about winning the war, keeping taxes low, maintaining the safety and security of American citizens, sustaining the economy, and confirming good judges who don’t invent their own interpretations of the constitution. That’s the message. The Democrat message is “we hate the Bush administration.”

Get out and vote, will ya? Vote for national security and economic prosperity. Don’t vote for spite or stay home out of apathy. It will take entirely too long to undo a Democratic majority. It’s not worth it for payback or any other reason.

Lack of Will: We’ve got a good economy, decent employment, and a National Security apparatus second to none. Let’s get the message out. We don’t want to step backwards on any of this. If Republicans lose the House then Democrats will control the committees and a lot of needless and unproductive investigations and hearings will result in two years of another do-nothing Congress. If you don’t want Congress to do anything, (and trust me, sometimes I think that might be best) then vote Democratic or stay home. If you want more progress in the areas of the economy and National Security then don’t stay home.

Let’s get past the Foley thing, please. There’s a lot to do.

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